[Magdalen] IANAP

[Roger Stokes]

I agree that the Russians probably have such information but I do not 
expect them to release it. They want to keep Trump in the Oval Office.

I also agree that the current Congress is unlikely to impeach Trump 
because the first stage of that would be drawing up specific Articles of 
Impeachment for the House to pass before there is a trial in the Senate. 
Earlier this evening I happened on the tail-end of an interview where 
one of the interviewees referred to an incident (probably another tweet) 
which prompted the suggestion of invoking the 25th Amendment to the 
Constitution. This provides for the removal of a President who is 
incapable of fulfilling their duties. The first stage is for the 
Vice-President and a majority of the cabinet to decide that situation 
applies.They tell the President pro tempore of the Senate (Sen Orrin 
Hatch) and the Speaker of the House of representatives their decision, 
whereupon the VP becomes Acting President. The President can say "But I 
am fit" whereupon the same group of people as before can say "You 
aren't" and refer the matter to Congress where a two-thirds majority in 
both Houses can decide that he isn't fit to continue in office so the VP 
continues as Acting President.

Roger

On 22/07/2017 20:23, ME Michaud wrote:
> I think it's likely that the Russians have information
> that even the Republicans (and the base) couldn't ignore.
>
> It's only a question of whether they're going to release it.
>
> As long as they keep getting paid (in removed sanctions FX,
> and in trade deals), they'll hold off.
> -M
>
>
> On Saturday, July 22, 2017, Kristin Rollins <kristin at verumsolum.com> wrote:
>
>> I'm not sure I would go that far. But the only way it will happen is if
>> Republicans in Congress feel Trump has become such a liability to their
>> party that they would do better to put Pence in the Oval Office.
>> I still don't think it is likely, but I think it is slightly less unlikely.
>>
>>