[Magdalen] The answer

Lesley de Voil lesleymdv at gmail.com
Thu May 7 22:22:57 UTC 2015


My Twitterfeed tells me that
<
Nate Silver @NateSilver538 6 Jun 2012

Exit polls have been highly accurate in every recent election except
1992, 1994, 1996, 1998, 2000, 2002, 2004, 2006, 2008 and 2010.
>

Don't get carried away by these early results IOW!

Regards
Lesley de Voil

On 5/8/15, Scott Knitter <scottknitter at gmail.com> wrote:
> A tweet from The Independent said Labour was ahead in an exit poll, then
> the BBC news site said Tories but short of a majority. Are these exit polls
> usually good or are they like in the US where they mainly give presenters
> something to fill time with until real results are known?
> On May 7, 2015 4:06 PM, "Roger Stokes" <roger.stokes65 at btinternet.com>
> wrote:
>
>> is in the bixes, tens of thousands of them up and down the country, but
>> what it means will take time to berevealed.  Opinion polls have indicated
>> a
>> fairly steady picture of an equal division between the Conservatives,
>> Labour and the other parties combined.
>>
>> The exit polls indicate a radically different make-up in the new House of
>> Commons with a large increase in the number of SNP Members elected and a
>> sharp reduction in the number of Liberal Democrats. Within the next 20
>> hours we should know the actual make-up of the number of people elected.
>> If, as expected, no party has an overall majority, the negotiayions over
>> what happens could take quite a time.
>>
>> Americans, you get your own chance to vote in 18 months.
>>
>> Roger
>>
>


More information about the Magdalen mailing list