[Magdalen] End of an Era.
Joseph Cirou
romanos at mindspring.com
Thu Apr 2 19:16:15 UTC 2015
You have provided a fine description of the logical fallacy Post Hoc Ergo Propter Hoc
Joe
-----Original Message-----
>From: Cantor03--- via Magdalen <magdalen at herberthouse.org>
>Sent: Apr 2, 2015 2:50 PM
>To: magdalen at herberthouse.org
>Subject: Re: [Magdalen] End of an Era.
>
>
>
>In a message dated 4/2/2015 12:58:29 P.M. Eastern Daylight Time,
>jguthrie at pipeline.com writes:
>
>Coincidence is not Causation, but the steep decline in TEC membership
>seems to
>coincide with the demise of MP as Principal Service..>>>
>
>But don't you think there is a temporal but not causal relationship there?
>
>I constantly, during 50 years of dermatology practice, had to deal with
>this same temporal/causal problem.
>
>Patient's would say, but Doc, my rash began when I visited New York City
>or wherever. Or my rash began while I watched fireworks on the 4th of
>July, etc., etc.
>
>While always careful to give any patient history full consideration, much
>of the time these temporal associations had nothing to do with the cause
>of the patient's rash, and their dwelling on these temporal associations
>could well be counterproductive to clearing the rash.
>
>David Strang.
>
>
>
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