[Magdalen] End of an Era.

Joseph Cirou romanos at mindspring.com
Thu Apr 2 19:16:15 UTC 2015


You have provided a fine description of the logical fallacy Post Hoc Ergo Propter Hoc

Joe

-----Original Message-----
>From: Cantor03--- via Magdalen <magdalen at herberthouse.org>
>Sent: Apr 2, 2015 2:50 PM
>To: magdalen at herberthouse.org
>Subject: Re: [Magdalen] End of an Era.
>
>
>
>In a message dated 4/2/2015 12:58:29 P.M. Eastern Daylight Time,  
>jguthrie at pipeline.com writes:
>
>Coincidence is not Causation, but the steep decline in TEC  membership 
>seems to 
>coincide with the demise of MP as Principal  Service..>>>
> 
>But don't you think there is a temporal but not causal relationship  there?
> 
>I constantly, during 50 years of dermatology practice, had to deal  with
>this same temporal/causal problem.
> 
>Patient's would say, but Doc, my rash began when I visited New York  City
>or wherever.  Or my rash began while I watched fireworks on the 4th  of
>July, etc., etc.
> 
>While always careful to give any patient history full consideration,  much
>of the time these temporal associations had nothing to do with the  cause
>of the patient's rash, and their dwelling on these temporal  associations
>could well be counterproductive to clearing the rash.
> 
>David Strang.
>
>
>





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